Posts in Weather
Farmer’s Forecast: A Warm Christmas Ahead for Louisiana

After a brief cool down on Friday, it looks like warmer weather is here to stay through Christmas and beyond. Parts of western Louisiana saw 1-2 inches of rain in the last week, but many areas are still running a deficit. The good news is, the D2, severe drought has been removed from all of Louisiana! The bad news is, I don’t see significant rain in the next 7 days.

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Weatherkristen oaks
Farmer's Forecast: A Weather Roller Coaster Riding Into Christmas

Howdy farm folks! It looks like we have a temperature roller coaster on the way, with a little rain, but not enough to have much of an impact. Fortunately, the rains we saw last week were enough to remove the severe drought over south Louisiana, leaving only a small area centered on Natchitoches that still is classified as a D2, severe drought. We still need rain per the drought monitor, but at least it isn’t 100 degrees every day, evaporating everything in sight.

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Weatherkristen oaks
'Freezer' Tonight... Rains Return Later This Week

Mother Nature delivers a reminder that we are now in "meteorological winter" (Dec, Jan & Feb) with a freeze tonight into early Wednesday morning.  Fortunately, this freeze will be just a "one-nighter" ... temps for Wednesday night/Thursday morning will be still by cold but should be above-freezing for all but possibly a few northernmost Louisiana communities.

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Weatherkristen oaks
Severe Weather & Flood Threats For Tuesday

A storm system currently centered in the Southern Plains will send a strong cold front through Louisiana on Tuesday.  The SPC has posted a "Slight Risk" (2-out-of-5 on the threat scale) for severe storms in advance of the cold front for northern Louisiana.  The primary threat window is from Monday afternoon into Monday night, ending early Tuesday morning.

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Weatherdon molino
The Farmer's Forecast: Breaking Down the Drought and the Rainfall Outlook

Rain has been a tough commodity statewide, with nothing in the last week, and most areas seeing less than half of our average over the last 30 days. That has brought some parts of Louisiana below normal for the last year and we’d been running a surplus for some time. That’s why parts of Louisiana are now in a severe drought, with 5% in that category, and 43% in moderate drought. There is some hope, though I tend to think models are a bit overdone on their current forecasts for rain. I’ll explain. 

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Weatherkristen oaks
Watching the Wells: Drought Returns to the Bayou State

Louisiana is nowhere near as dry (yet!) as the circumstances that developed during 2023 … but we are seeing some pockets of “critical” dryness in sections of the state.  Note that the LA Drought Team introduced two areas of D2 (‘Severe Drought’) to the latest Weekly Drought Monitor.  It’s the first time that any part of the state was tagged with D2 since late 2024.

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Weatherkristen oaks