A wintry weekend is on the way for a large part of Louisiana, and winter storm watches are already in place across parts of the state. Here's how I see things happening.
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Several rounds of rain between Jan 8-10 were associated with a pair of cold front passages on Jan 09 and 10. Those rains came with the first Severe Weather Watch in weeks for Louisiana along with a number of Severe Weather Warnings around the state. The severe weather included an EF1 tornado near Coushatta (Red River Parish) … there were reports of flooding across portions of southeastern and northern Louisiana … some areas of northern Louisiana receiving radar-estimated amounts of more than 3.00” while radar-estimates for sections of southeast Louisiana topped 6.00.”
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Drought conditions continue to impact a considerable portion of Louisiana and such conditions are typically accompanied by an elevated threat for wildfires. Fortunately, however, the LA Dept. of Ag & Forestry is currently indicating a slight reduction in wild fire threats around the state with no burn bans currently in effect.
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This is not meant to sound an alarm (just yet) ... but to send an alert to what may be on the way. Some of what is currently forecasted is sure to change, but the question is "how much change?"
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I'm confident you've heard of wintry potential across Louisiana for the coming weekend. I'll let you know what I'm seeing, and add some links for you to use give yourself an idea on the threat for your immediate area. As always, I recommend everyone have a good, trusted, and local source that forecasts for your area. Let's take a look at things.
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Rains over the course of the 7-day period (6-13 Jan) took a bite out of the developing drought for parts of Louisiana, with one-category improvements (Drought Category reductions) across the Florida Parishes and near/along the I-20 corridor in northern Louisiana. Yet nearly two-thirds of the state remains "in drought" with more than 20% of Louisiana in "Severe Drought" (D2).
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With social media promoting the potential … and South Louisiana residents remembering Sneaux-mageddon of January 2025, I wanted to get on top of the current forecast(s) for Saturday evening into early Sunday morning as of this morning (Thursday AM).
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After a year that challenged nearly every long-range forecast, weather uncertainty remains a dominant theme heading into 2026. Shifting climate signals with La Niña looking to make a quick exit, evolving ocean temperatures and global production concerns are once again forcing producers and markets to stay flexible
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The United States was hit with numerous multi-billion dollar extreme weather events in 2025, and many of them took harsh tolls on the agricultural sector. In its year-end recap, AccuWeather says seven of the worst disasters this year — most notably floods in the central U.S. and Texas Hill Country — resulted in $378 billion to $424 billion in total damage and economic hardship.
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7-day rainfall was mainly limited to a frontal passage during the overnight hours of Dec 13 into the morning hours of Dec 14, with 7-day totals running below-normal for the vast majority of the state.
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After a brief cool down on Friday, it looks like warmer weather is here to stay through Christmas and beyond. Parts of western Louisiana saw 1-2 inches of rain in the last week, but many areas are still running a deficit. The good news is, the D2, severe drought has been removed from all of Louisiana! The bad news is, I don’t see significant rain in the next 7 days.
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Authors for the U.S. Weekly Drought Monitor (USDM) agree that drought remains an issue for much of the Bayou State but removed areas of D2 Drought ('Severe Drought') as of this week.
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Several rounds of precipitation moved through the Bayou State from Dec 3 to Dec 7 in association with low pressure off the Gulf Coast, persistent upper-level southwesterly flow from the Pacific, and a frontal passage on Dec 7.
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Rains from the final days of November through December 9 were sufficient to produce welcomed 1-category improvements (drought category reductions) across all of southern Louisiana.
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Howdy farm folks! It looks like we have a temperature roller coaster on the way, with a little rain, but not enough to have much of an impact. Fortunately, the rains we saw last week were enough to remove the severe drought over south Louisiana, leaving only a small area centered on Natchitoches that still is classified as a D2, severe drought. We still need rain per the drought monitor, but at least it isn’t 100 degrees every day, evaporating everything in sight.
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