The Farmer's Forecast: Breaking Down the Drought and the Rainfall Outlook

Rain has been a tough commodity statewide, with nothing in the last week, and most areas seeing less than half of our average over the last 30 days. That has brought some parts of Louisiana below normal for the last year and we’d been running a surplus for some time. That’s why parts of Louisiana are now in a severe drought, with 5% in that category, and 43% in moderate drought. There is some hope, though I tend to think models are a bit overdone on their current forecasts for rain. I’ll explain. 

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Weatherkristen oaks
Projected ARC and PLC Payments for 2025

The ARC and PLC programs for 2025 are currently projected to make over $13.5 billion in payments. Those payments will be made in October 2026. A challenge facing policymakers is to balance the immediate need for financial assistance facing many farm operations with the fact that 2025 ARC/PLC payments will not be determined and paid until next year.

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USDAkristen oaks