2026 Pre-Season Hurricane Outlooks

By Jay Grymes

Louisiana State Climatologist

There is general agreement among all but one of the listed forecast groups that the 2026 season will have fewer-than-average 'named' storms in the Atlantic Basin.  Historically, fewer storms overall leads to a reduction in landfalls for the U.S. mainland, on average.  This is especially true in terms of 'major' hurricane landfalls on the mainland.  

Animated Depiction of Seasonal Outlooks from a variety of forecast groups

However, it is imperative that Louisiana residents avoid complacency, regardless of the forecasted storm numbers, and prepare for a typical (active) season.

It is cliche' but true: "It only takes one."

Note the uptick in the frequency of storms impacting the Bayou State over the past 25 seasons (2001-2025) compared to 20th Century activity.  While impacts were likely higher than most people realize prior to 2001 (the state averaged 7 impacts by 'named' storms every 10 years from 1900-2000), Louisiana has averaged roughly 1 impact per year since the start of the 21st Century..

Prepare before the season gets underway. 

Need some help?

Take a Look at Louisiana's getagameplan.org for guidance on developing personal, family, and business plans for tropical weather preparedness.

Remember: Awareness is the First Step for Preparedness