Grain Market Outlook: Price Predictions and Trends

This report projects corn, soybeans, wheat and rice futures prices for the United States for the first quarter (Q1) of 2025. Our analysis utilizes historical data on both cash prices (the price for immediate delivery) and futures prices (the price agreed upon for delivery at a future date).

We aggregate the daily futures prices into quarterly averages to simplify our analysis. Using this dataset, we train several machine learning models to predict futures prices for all the four commodities.

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LSU AgCenterdon molino
Why America's Farmers Are So Eagerly Seeking An Exception To Trump's Second Round Of Trade Wars

America's farmers are once again at the center of global trade tensions after Donald Trump's implementation of new tariffs was met with countermoves from China and Canada that could raise food prices and impact rural economies.

The potential economic pain ahead has led to exception requests from the agriculture sector, with some signs Thursday that the Trump administration could be weighing exemptions for certain agricultural products from new tariffs on Canada and Mexico.

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Tradedon molino
K-12 Rice & Shine Recipe Contest Inspires School Breakfast to Start With Rice

USA Rice is committed to helping students start their school days the “rice” way with a new national school recipe contest designed to promote increased rice usage during breakfast.  The contest is designed for school foodservice professionals, operators, and chefs representing grades K-12 and encourages them to submit original breakfast recipes featuring U.S.-grown rice.  “Rice & Shine” aims to inspire increased rice consumption during K-12 breakfast meals with new recipes derived from the contest submissions.

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RiceAllie Shipley
Shurley: No Price Bump Seen from Lower Cotton Acres

U.S. cotton acres planted are expected to drop 14.5% this year according to the National Cotton Council’s survey. If realized, this would be the lowest acreage since 2015 and the sixth lowest going back all the way to 1975. Yet last week (Feb. 28), cotton prices (nearby old crop May 2025 futures) dropped to 65 cents – the lowest in roughly five years. New crop December 2025 stands at roughly 68 cents.

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CottonAllie Shipley