From USDA
The initial 2021/22 outlook for U.S. rice is for reduced supplies, exports, domestic use, and ending stocks. Total 2021/22 supplies are projected at 285.0 million cwt, down 2 percent from last year on lower production more than offsetting higher imports and significantly greater beginning stocks.
All rice production is projected at 203.6 million cwt, down 11 percent from the previous year on reduced harvested area. The 2021/22 projected all rice yield is 7,651 pounds per acre, up 32 pounds from last year.